Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atyrau vs Altai

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Turkestan Arena, Turkestan
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Henrique
Assist: Rabiu M.
41'
Ivanov S.
43'
Popov S.

AI Match Summary

Atyrau in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atyrau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Atyrau
20%
Draws
48%
Altai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Altai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Altai have won more games recently than Atyrau.
  • Win probability leans Atyrau's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Atyrau Clean Sheet 68%
Altai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atyrau Altai
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 4 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.81 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Premier League
Altai vs Atyrau
0:0
May 3, 2026 Premier League
Atyrau vs Altai
1:0
Oct 5, 2020 First League
Altai vs Atyrau
0:0
Jul 29, 2020 First League
Atyrau vs Altai
0:0
May 8, 2019 Kazakhstan Cup
Altai vs Atyrau
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atyrau Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Altai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atyrau 51 / 100
Altai 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atyrau Altai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atyrau scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Altai has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Altai's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Atyrau VS Altai
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atyrau

(Home)
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2
Okzhetpes
09 Aug
Atyrau
1 : 1
Aktobe
01 Aug
Atyrau
1 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
26 Jul
Tobol
1 : 0
Atyrau
18 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 3
Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 6

Altai

(Away)
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
15 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 1
Altai
08 Aug
Altai
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
02 Aug
Okzhetpes
4 : 1
Altai
26 Jul
FC Astana
4 : 1
Altai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 22 16 4 2 43:16 52
2 Kairat Almaty 21 14 6 1 42:15 48
3 FC Astana 21 11 6 4 34:22 39
4 Okzhetpes 22 10 6 6 32:29 36
5 Aktobe 22 10 5 7 32:26 35
6 Yelimay Semey 21 8 8 5 31:26 32
7 Ulytau 22 7 7 8 18:24 28
8 Zhenis 21 6 8 7 21:24 26
9 Tobol 21 7 4 10 23:28 25
10 Kaspij Aktau 22 6 5 11 24:31 23
11 Kyzylzhar 22 6 5 11 24:32 23
12 Atyrau 21 3 11 7 15:21 20
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 21 3 11 7 16:24 20
14 Altai 22 4 7 11 20:33 19
15 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 22 4 7 11 24:38 19
16 Ertis Pavlodar 21 3 8 10 20:30 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)