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Atyrau vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup Turkestan Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atyrau play Zhetysu Taldykorgan in the Kazakhstan Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atyrau averaged 1 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Zhetysu Taldykorgan averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Atyrau won 1, Zhetysu Taldykorgan won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Atyrau and 1.19 for Zhetysu Taldykorgan. This points to a Atyrau double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Atyrau
35%
Draws
32%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atyrau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Atyrau picked up more points recently compared to Zhetysu Taldykorgan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Atyrau Clean Sheet 20%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atyrau Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Atyrau
0:0
Apr 29, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Atyrau vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Atyrau
0:0
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Atyrau vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Atyrau
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atyrau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Zhetysu Taldykorgan Compare

Top Goalscorer Birkurmanov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jovanovic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atyrau 34 / 100
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atyrau Zhetysu Taldykorgan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atyrau or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atyrau attacking → ← attacking Zhetysu Taldykorgan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atyrau scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Zhetysu Taldykorgan let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Atyrau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zhetysu Taldykorgan lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 32
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75