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Atyrau W vs Kairat W Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Tsyganova V.
Own Goal
61' Event
Bekpenbetova T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Atyrau W
15%
Draws
42%
Kairat W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atyrau W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Atyrau W haven't matched Kairat W's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kairat W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Kairat W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Atyrau W Clean Sheet 11%
Kairat W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atyrau W Kairat W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 2 2
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.33 2.27
Goals Conceded 4 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 League Women
Kairat W vs Atyrau W
3:0
Jun 15, 2026 League Women
Atyrau W vs Kairat W
1:1
Sep 1, 2025 League Women
Atyrau W vs Kairat W
0:6
Jun 9, 2025 League Women
Kairat W vs Atyrau W
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atyrau W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Kairat W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bekpenbetova T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atyrau W 10 / 100
Kairat W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atyrau W Kairat W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kairat W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Atyrau W's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kairat W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Atyrau W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atyrau W VS Kairat W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atyrau W

(Home)
07 Sept
Atyrau W
2 : 0
Ordabasy W
31 Aug
Atyrau W
5 : 0
Ulytau W
24 Aug
Kairat W
3 : 0
Atyrau W
17 Aug
Atyrau W
3 : 1
Zhetysu W
03 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda W
1 : 0
Atyrau W
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Kairat W

(Away)
07 Sept
Kairat W
1 : 2
Tomiris-Turan W
31 Aug
Kairat W
3 : 1
BIIK Shymkent W
24 Aug
Kairat W
3 : 0
Atyrau W
17 Aug
Ordabasy W
2 : 1
Kairat W
10 Aug
Kairat W
6 : 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)