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Aubagne FC vs Ales

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Vialla T.
8'
Nadifi R.
22'
Ben Nasr D.

AI Match Summary

Aubagne FC in this National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aubagne FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Aubagne FC
28%
Draws
50%
Ales
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ales have won more games recently than Aubagne FC.
  • Ales are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ales have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 20%
Ales Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aubagne FC Ales
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 National 2 - Group A
Aubagne FC vs Ales
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 National 2 - Group A
Ales vs Aubagne FC
3:1
Jan 21, 2023 National 2 - Group C
Aubagne FC vs Ales
0:3
Aug 27, 2022 National 2 - Group C
Ales vs Aubagne FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aubagne FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Vialla T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ales Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aubagne FC 24 / 100
Ales 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aubagne FC Ales

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aubagne FC scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Ales conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Aubagne FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aubagne FC VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aubagne FC261410233:1752
2Le Puy-en-Velay261210439:2446
3RC Grasse261012431:2142
4Jura Sud261011534:2341
5Cannes26913441:2140
6Hyeres26910737:2237
7Frejus Saint Raphael26812625:1936
8Toulon2698930:2935
9Andrezieux26971026:2834
10Ales26781123:3929
11Thonon-Evian26771227:3528
12Chamalieres265111026:4026
13Bourgoin Jallieu26491324:4321
14Toulouse II26181724:5911