Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aucas vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aucas in this Serie B 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aucas
6%
Draws
4%
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios haven't matched Aucas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aucas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Aucas have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Aucas Clean Sheet 20%
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aucas Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2013 Serie B
Aucas vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
5:1
Jul 14, 2013 Serie B
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Aucas
5:2
May 5, 2013 Serie B
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Aucas
1:2
Apr 27, 2013 Serie B
Aucas vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aucas 85 / 100
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aucas Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Aucas found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (38 games).

Aucas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aucas VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olmedo442951076:4392
2Mushuc Runa442491152:4481
3Imbabura4421111263:4774
4Aucas442161769:5369
5Guayaquil City4418141257:4368
6Tecnico U.4417141360:5365
7Deportivo Municipal441682048:6056
8Espoli4413102144:5549
9Univ. Cotopaxi441392248:5748
10Dep. Azogues4411132049:7046
11CSCD Grecia4411122144:6445
12Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios448132347:6837