Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aucas vs Mushuc Runa

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Cela A. In: Davila E.
Out: Cela A.
27'
Sub
Negro B. In: Flor F.
Out: Negro B.
35'
Formento R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Aucas and Mushuc Runa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Aucas
28%
Draws
22%
Mushuc Runa
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Aucas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aucas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Aucas Clean Sheet 68%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aucas Mushuc Runa
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Aucas
0:0
Feb 21, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Mushuc Runa
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Aucas
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Mushuc Runa
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Mushuc Runa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aucas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mushuc Runa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamboa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aucas 59 / 100
Mushuc Runa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aucas Mushuc Runa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aucas found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Mushuc Runa let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Aucas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aucas VS Mushuc Runa
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle19151343:1946
2Aucas1995521:1932
3Barcelona SC1987421:1431
4U. Catolica1985629:1829
5Macara1985620:1929
6LDU Quito1984719:1528
7Dep. Cuenca1984719:2128
8Emelec1976616:1727
9Leones del Norte1966720:2024
10Tecnico U.19721019:2023
11Orense1965822:2623
12Guayaquil City1965817:2223
13Mushuc Runa1956824:2921
14Libertad1956818:2521
15Delfin1955911:1820
16Manta1934127:2413