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Auchinleck Talbot vs Dalbeattie Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Main L.
(Penalty)
14' Event
Sime A.
Assist: Gebrial Abed T.
18' Event
Gebrial Abed T.
Assist: Boyd C.

AI Match Summary

Auchinleck Talbot in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auchinleck Talbot.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Auchinleck Talbot
15%
Draws
0%
Dalbeattie Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auchinleck Talbot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Auchinleck Talbot have won more games recently than Dalbeattie Star.
  • Win probability leans Auchinleck Talbot's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Auchinleck Talbot Clean Sheet 20%
Dalbeattie Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auchinleck Talbot Dalbeattie Star
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 0
Draws 1 5
Losses 11 26
Goals Scored 2.13 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.37 4.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Lowland League
Auchinleck Talbot vs Dalbeattie Star
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auchinleck Talbot Compare

Top Goalscorer Gebrial Abed T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sime A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Dalbeattie Star Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auchinleck Talbot 85 / 100
Dalbeattie Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auchinleck Talbot Dalbeattie Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auchinleck Talbot Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dalbeattie Star conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Dalbeattie Star has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Auchinleck Talbot's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Auchinleck Talbot VS Dalbeattie Star
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Auchinleck Talbot

(Home)
02 Oct
Cumnock Juniors
2 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
26 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
4 : 0
Cumnock Juniors
22 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
3 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
16 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
12 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
3 : 1
Caledonian Braves
Page 1 of 6

Dalbeattie Star

(Away)
03 Oct
Strathspey Thistle
3 : 2
Dalbeattie Star
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
15 Sept
Celtic B
2 : 0
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 6
Cumnock Juniors
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)