Sport Picks

New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020 Kiwitea Street

Canterbury

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Auckland City play Canterbury in the Football Championship 2019/2020. Auckland City are favorites here. Recently, Auckland City averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Canterbury averaged 1.36 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Auckland City won 4, Canterbury won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 14, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Auckland City and 1.81 for Canterbury. This points to a Auckland City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%

Auckland City

15%

Draws

22%

Canterbury

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Auckland City picked up more points recently compared to Canterbury.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Auckland City Clean Sheet 11%

Canterbury Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Auckland City	Canterbury
Matches Played	40	28
Wins	26	6
Draws	5	7
Losses	9	15
Goals Scored	1.82	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.38	2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2021 Football Championship

Auckland City vs Canterbury

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Dec 13, 2020 Football Championship

Canterbury vs Auckland City

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Feb 16, 2020 Football Championship

Auckland City vs Canterbury

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

5:1

Dec 8, 2019 Football Championship

Canterbury vs Auckland City

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Feb 2, 2019 Football Championship

Canterbury vs Auckland City

Possession: 60% - 44% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tade E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kaltack B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Canterbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Clapham A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 59 / 100

Canterbury 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Auckland City Canterbury

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (1)

Secondary Pick Auckland City & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.82

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Auckland City attacking → ← attacking Canterbury

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City scored in 83% of their last 40 games.

Canterbury let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Auckland City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Canterbury lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

83 Points in last 5 25

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Auckland City	16	11	4	1	42:15	37
2	Team Wellington	16	10	4	2	36:15	34
3	Waitakere United	16	8	3	5	35:32	27
4	Eastern Suburbs	16	6	4	6	33:26	22
5	Tasman United	16	6	2	8	27:26	20
6	Hamilton	16	6	2	8	24:39	20
7	Southern United	16	5	4	7	25:38	19
8	Wellington Phoenix 2	16	4	6	6	30:32	18
9	Hawke s Bay	16	4	3	9	32:44	15
10	Canterbury	16	2	4	10	19:36	10