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Auckland City vs Canterbury Prediction & H2H Stats

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020 Kiwitea Street, Auckland
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Tade E.
14' Event
Kaltack B.
32' Event
Bevan M.

AI Match Summary

Auckland City in this Football Championship 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Auckland City
15%
Draws
27%
Canterbury
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Canterbury haven't matched Auckland City's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Auckland City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Auckland City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 18%
Canterbury Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Canterbury
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 22 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.94 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2021 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Canterbury
2:0
Dec 13, 2020 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Auckland City
1:0
Feb 16, 2020 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Canterbury
5:1
Dec 8, 2019 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Auckland City
0:3
Feb 2, 2019 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Auckland City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tade E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaltack B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Canterbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Clapham A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 85 / 100
Canterbury 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Canterbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Canterbury let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Auckland City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland City

(Home)
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4
Auckland City
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0
Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1
Auckland City
Page 1 of 7

Canterbury

(Away)
27 Feb
Canterbury
5 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
14 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 0
Canterbury
06 Feb
Canterbury
2 : 1
Hawke s Bay
31 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 16 11 4 1 42:15 37
2 Team Wellington 16 10 4 2 36:15 34
3 Waitakere United 16 8 3 5 35:32 27
4 Eastern Suburbs 16 6 4 6 33:26 22
5 Tasman United 16 6 2 8 27:26 20
6 Hamilton 16 6 2 8 24:39 20
7 Southern United 16 5 4 7 25:38 19
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 16 4 6 6 30:32 18
9 Hawke s Bay 16 4 3 9 32:44 15
10 Canterbury 16 2 4 10 19:36 10
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)