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Auckland City vs Lae City Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019 Kiwitea Street, Auckland
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Tavano F.
41' Event
Browne D.
46'
Sub
Gunemba T. In: Simon E.
Out: Gunemba T.

AI Match Summary

Auckland City in this OFC Champions League 2019 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Auckland City
15%
Draws
14%
Lae City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Auckland City have won more games recently than Lae City.
  • Model gives Auckland City a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Auckland City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Auckland City, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Auckland City have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 13%
Lae City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Lae City
Matches Played 50 26
Wins 37 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.6 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2019 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Lae City
4:0
Mar 15, 2017 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Lae City
2:0
Apr 13, 2016 OFC Champions League
Lae City vs Auckland City
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Browne D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hudson-Wihongi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Lae City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 84 / 100
Lae City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Lae City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (50 games).

Lae City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 26 matches.

Auckland City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS Lae City
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland City

(Home)
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4
Auckland City
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0
Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1
Auckland City
Page 1 of 10

Lae City

(Away)
15 Aug
Rewa
2 : 1
Lae City
12 Aug
Lae City
1 : 3
ABM Galaxy
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
18 Feb
Lae City
0 : 2
PNG Hekari
11 Feb
PNG Hekari
2 : 1
Lae City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Central Sport 0
Magenta 8
Auckland City 4
Lae City 0
Hienghene Sport 2
Ba 1
Team Wellington 6
Henderson Eels 1
Semi-finals
Magenta 2
Auckland City 1
Hienghene Sport 2
Team Wellington 0
Final
Magenta 0
Hienghene Sport 1