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Auckland City vs Pirae

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2024 Stade Pater, Papeete
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
den Heijer M.
11'
Lobo N.
26'
Tehau A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Auckland City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Auckland City
15%
Draws
18%
Pirae
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auckland City come out ahead of Pirae on wins alone.
  • Auckland City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Auckland City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Auckland City, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Auckland City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 20%
Pirae Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Pirae
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 22 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.97 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Pirae
1:0
May 25, 2024 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Pirae
4:0
May 4, 2014 OFC Champions League
Pirae vs Auckland City
2:1
Apr 26, 2014 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Pirae
3:0
May 21, 2006 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Pirae
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer den Heijer M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gillion L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Pirae Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 85 / 100
Pirae 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Pirae

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Auckland City scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Pirae conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Auckland City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS Pirae
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland City

(Home)
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4
Auckland City
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0
Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1
Auckland City
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Pirae

(Away)
15 Nov
Carnoux F.C.
5 : 1
Pirae
05 Apr
Pirae
1 : 1
Tiga Sport
02 Apr
Rewa
0 : 1
Pirae
30 Mar
Auckland City
1 : 0
Pirae
25 May
Auckland City
4 : 0
Pirae
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Auckland City 1
Magenta 0
Pirae 4
Rewa 2
Final
Auckland City 4
Pirae 0