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Auckland City vs Tasman United

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020 Kiwitea Street
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Howieson C.
48' Event
Bevan M.
(Penalty)
74' Event
Boss J.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2019/2020 game between Auckland City and Tasman United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auckland City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Auckland City
6%
Draws
4%
Tasman United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Auckland City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Auckland City taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Auckland City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 68%
Tasman United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Tasman United
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 20 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2020 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Auckland City
2:1
Dec 1, 2019 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Tasman United
2:1
Dec 16, 2018 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Auckland City
1:3
Oct 21, 2018 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Tasman United
3:1
Feb 17, 2018 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Auckland City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Howieson C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tasman United Compare

Top Goalscorer Boss J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 95 / 100
Tasman United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Tasman United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Auckland City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tasman United has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City16114142:1537
2Team Wellington16104236:1534
3Waitakere United1683535:3227
4Eastern Suburbs1664633:2622
5Tasman United1662827:2620
6Hamilton1662824:3920
7Southern United1654725:3819
8Wellington Phoenix 21646630:3218
9Hawke s Bay1643932:4415
10Canterbury16241019:3610