Sport Picks

New Zealand

Football Championship 2015/2016 Kiwitea Street

WaiBOP United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Auckland City play WaiBOP United in the Football Championship 2015/2016. Auckland City are favorites here. Recently, Auckland City averaged 2.04 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. WaiBOP United averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Auckland City won 5, WaiBOP United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 28, 2016 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Auckland City and 1.81 for WaiBOP United. This points to a Auckland City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Auckland City

15%

Draws

28%

WaiBOP United

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Auckland City picked up more points recently compared to WaiBOP United.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Auckland City Clean Sheet 11%

WaiBOP United Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Auckland City	WaiBOP United
Matches Played	52	30
Wins	33	13
Draws	10	1
Losses	9	16
Goals Scored	2.04	1.77
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2016 Football Championship

Auckland City vs WaiBOP United

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

4:1

Dec 20, 2015 Football Championship

WaiBOP United vs Auckland City

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

0:2

Feb 18, 2015 Football Championship

WaiBOP United vs Auckland City

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Jan 25, 2015 Football Championship

Auckland City vs WaiBOP United

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

3:2

Jan 18, 2014 Football Championship

WaiBOP United vs Auckland City

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Leaalafa M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader de Vries R.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

WaiBOP United Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoyle S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 54 / 100

WaiBOP United 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Auckland City WaiBOP United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (1)

Secondary Pick Auckland City & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Auckland City attacking → ← attacking WaiBOP United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City scored in 85% of their last 52 games.

WaiBOP United let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Auckland City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

WaiBOP United lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

109 Points in last 5 40

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Auckland City	14	12	2	0	43:12	38
2	Hawke s Bay	14	9	3	2	29:16	30
3	Team Wellington	14	8	3	3	36:21	27
4	Canterbury	14	8	2	4	28:23	26
5	WaiBOP United	14	6	0	8	29:27	18
6	Waitakere United	14	4	1	9	23:36	13
7	Wellington Phoenix 2	14	2	1	11	24:46	7
8	Southern United	14	1	0	13	11:42	3