Sport Picks
Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix 2
New Zealand
National League 2024 Kiwitea Street, Auckland 
Match Events
4'
4'
Smith J.
32'
32'
Brooke-Smith L.
34'
34'
Sloane-Rodrigues G.
AI Match Summary
Wellington Phoenix 2 in this National League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wellington Phoenix 2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Auckland City have won more games recently than Wellington Phoenix 2.
- Model gives Auckland City a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 68%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Auckland City | Wellington Phoenix 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 29 |
| Wins | 25 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 2.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.04 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 22, 2025 National League
Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 National League
Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix 2
3:4
Sep 23, 2023 National League
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Auckland City
0:1
Nov 5, 2022 National League
Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:0
Feb 20, 2021 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Auckland City
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Auckland City Compare
Top Goalscorer Kilkolly A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bevan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02
Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brooke-Smith L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Auckland City 68 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Auckland City Wellington Phoenix 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Auckland City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Auckland City found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (39 games).
Wellington Phoenix 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Auckland City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Auckland City VS Wellington Phoenix 2
2.5 Goals Scored 1.57
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.57
100% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Auckland City
(Home) 22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0 Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1 Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3 Venus
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1 Auckland City
10 Aug
Central Coast
1 : 2 Auckland City
Page 1 of 8
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0 Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1 Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3 Venus
04 Jul
Auckland City
3 : 0 Takapuna Afc
06 Dec
Auckland City
3 : 0 Coastal Spirit
Page 1 of 4
Wellington Phoenix 2
(Away) 26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1 Auckland United
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7 Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3 Birkenhead
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 0 Coastal Spirit
Page 1 of 6
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7 Wellington Phoenix 2
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2
09 Nov
Western Springs
3 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2
18 Oct
Auckland United
0 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2
04 Oct
Auckland FC 2
2 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birkenhead | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:16 | 20 |
| 2 | Auckland City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 3 | Western Springs | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 25:16 | 18 |
| 4 | Napier City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 13 |
| 6 | Wellington Olympic | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 11 |
| 7 | Coastal Spirit | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18:20 | 11 |
| 8 | Cashmere Technical | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:18 | 9 |
| 9 | Eastern Suburbs | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | 5 |
| 10 | Western Suburbs | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:28 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2024 (Grand Final)
