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Auckland FC 2 vs Coastal Spirit

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Go Media Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Tieku D.

AI Match Summary

Coastal Spirit in this National League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coastal Spirit.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Auckland FC 2
6%
Draws
4%
Coastal Spirit
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auckland FC 2 lately — more wins on the board than Coastal Spirit.
  • Auckland FC 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Auckland FC 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Coastal Spirit Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland FC 2 Coastal Spirit
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 National League
Auckland FC 2 vs Coastal Spirit
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland FC 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Coastal Spirit Compare

Top Goalscorer Tieku D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland FC 2 85 / 100
Coastal Spirit 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland FC 2 Coastal Spirit

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland FC 2 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Coastal Spirit conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Auckland FC 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Coastal Spirit has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auckland FC 2 VS Coastal Spirit
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Olympic1070323:1421
2Auckland City1062219:1420
3Miramar1061325:1419
4Auckland FC 21053217:1018
5Western Springs1051416:1316
6Birkenhead1050520:2115
7Christchurch1042416:1914
8Wellington Phoenix 21031618:2110
9Western Suburbs1031619:2110
10Auckland United1022611:198
11Coastal Spirit102175:237