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Auckland United W vs West Coast Rangers W

New Zealand New Zealand

Kate Sheppard Cup Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Vosper S.
54' Event
Benson Z.
79' Event
Lyon E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Auckland United W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Auckland United W
30%
Draws
34%
West Coast Rangers W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Auckland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auckland United W come out ahead of West Coast Rangers W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Auckland United W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Auckland United W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Auckland United W, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Auckland United W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 20%
West Coast Rangers W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland United W West Coast Rangers W
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 25 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 3.63 2
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 National League Women
Auckland United W vs West Coast Rangers W
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Auckland United W vs West Coast Rangers W
2:1
Nov 8, 2024 National League Women
West Coast Rangers W vs Auckland United W
0:1
Jul 6, 2024 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Auckland United W vs West Coast Rangers W
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vosper S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benson Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

West Coast Rangers W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyon E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland United W 36 / 100
West Coast Rangers W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland United W West Coast Rangers W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland United W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

West Coast Rangers W has conceded goals in 75% of their last 20 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Auckland United W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Auckland United W VS West Coast Rangers W
3.63 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland United W

(Home)
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2
Auckland United W
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West Coast Rangers W

(Away)
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
14 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
0 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5
West Coast Rangers W
31 Oct
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 1
Western Springs W
24 Oct
Auckland United W
1 : 0
West Coast Rangers W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Waterside Karori W1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W4
Cashmere Technical W2
Otago University W1
Auckland United W2
West Coast Rangers W1
Franklin United W0
Eastern Suburbs W8
Semi-finals
Wellington Phoenix 2 W2
Cashmere Technical W1
Auckland United W1
Eastern Suburbs W0
Final
Wellington Phoenix 2 W1
Auckland United W4