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Audace Cerignola vs Monopoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Domenico Monterisi, Cerignola
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Ligi A.
58'
Sub
Longo S. In: Fall M.
Out: Longo S.
58'
Sub
Greco J. In: Scipioni E.
Out: Greco J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Audace Cerignola
35%
Draws
42%
Monopoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monopoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Audace Cerignola lately — more wins on the board than Monopoli.
  • Audace Cerignola are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 20%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audace Cerignola Monopoli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.41 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Audace Cerignola vs Monopoli
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Monopoli
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Monopoli
1:0
Nov 18, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audace Cerignola 42 / 100
Monopoli 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audace Cerignola Monopoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Audace Cerignola's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Monopoli let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Audace Cerignola remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Audace Cerignola VS Monopoli
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Audace Cerignola

(Home)
04 Oct
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Altamura
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
Giugliano
Page 1 of 6

Monopoli

(Away)
03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)