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Audace Cerignola vs Turris

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 Stadio Domenico Monterisi, Cerignola
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Salvemini F.
11' Event
D'Andrea F.
24'
Gonnelli L.

AI Match Summary

Audace Cerignola in this Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Audace Cerignola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Audace Cerignola
30%
Draws
37%
Turris
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Audace Cerignola have won more games recently than Turris.
  • Win probability leans Audace Cerignola's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 16%
Turris Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audace Cerignola Turris
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 12 2
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.48 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Turris
5:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Turris vs Audace Cerignola
0:3
Mar 30, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Turris
0:0
Nov 26, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Turris vs Audace Cerignola
1:1
Oct 4, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie C
Turris vs Audace Cerignola
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Audace Cerignola Compare

Top Goalscorer Salvemini F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader D'Andrea F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Turris Compare

Top Goalscorer Giannone L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audace Cerignola 39 / 100
Turris 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audace Cerignola Turris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audace Cerignola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Audace Cerignola scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Turris has conceded goals in 75% of their last 20 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Audace Cerignola went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Audace Cerignola VS Turris
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.67
100% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Audace Cerignola

(Home)
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
Giugliano
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2
Audace Cerignola
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Turris

(Away)
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
13 Sept
Palmese 1914
0 : 0
Turris
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3
Martina Calcio
28 Feb
Giugliano
3 : 1
Turris
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avellino 34 22 9 3 61:26 75
2 Audace Cerignola 34 19 10 5 50:32 67
3 Monopoli 34 15 12 7 36:25 57
4 Crotone 34 15 9 10 62:49 54
5 Catania 34 14 12 8 49:34 53
6 Benevento 34 13 13 8 51:34 52
7 Potenza 34 12 13 9 55:52 49
8 Picerno 34 10 18 6 39:27 48
9 Juventus U23 34 12 8 14 44:45 44
10 Giugliano 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
11 Trapani 34 11 8 15 42:42 41
12 Cavese 34 10 11 13 34:39 41
13 Altamura 34 9 10 15 35:47 37
14 Sorrento 34 9 8 17 26:49 35
15 Latina 34 9 7 18 25:56 34
16 Casertana 34 6 14 14 30:38 32
17 Foggia 34 7 10 17 34:51 31
18 ACR Messina 34 6 11 17 29:53 25
19 Turris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Taranto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)