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Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Matino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Patronelli V.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 game between Audace Cerignola and Virtus Matino finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Audace Cerignola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Audace Cerignola
20%
Draws
44%
Virtus Matino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virtus Matino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Audace Cerignola carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Audace Cerignola a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 16%
Virtus Matino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audace Cerignola Virtus Matino
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Matino
1:0
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Matino vs Audace Cerignola
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audace Cerignola 84 / 100
Virtus Matino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audace Cerignola Virtus Matino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audace Cerignola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Matino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Audace Cerignola scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Audace Cerignola has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Audace Cerignola VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Audace Cerignola

(Home)
04 Oct
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Altamura
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
Giugliano
Page 1 of 7

Virtus Matino

(Away)
22 May
Virtus Matino
3 : 4
Brindisi
15 May
Rotonda
2 : 0
Virtus Matino
08 May
Virtus Matino
1 : 5
Bitonto
01 May
Francavilla
2 : 3
Virtus Matino
24 Apr
Virtus Matino
2 : 1
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)