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Audax RJ vs CEAC/Araruama

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Beto
44' Event
Lima R.
57' Event
Xandinho

AI Match Summary

Audax RJ in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Audax RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Audax RJ
15%
Draws
59%
CEAC/Araruama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CEAC/Araruama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • CEAC/Araruama have won more games recently than Audax RJ.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and CEAC/Araruama have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Audax RJ Clean Sheet 21%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audax RJ CEAC/Araruama
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs CEAC/Araruama
3:2
Jun 29, 2025 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs CEAC/Araruama
1:2
Jul 10, 2024 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Audax RJ
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Audax RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Xandinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

CEAC/Araruama Compare

Top Goalscorer Beto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wendel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audax RJ 32 / 100
CEAC/Araruama 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audax RJ CEAC/Araruama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEAC/Araruama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CEAC/Araruama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Audax RJ scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Audax RJ stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Audax RJ VS CEAC/Araruama
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Audax RJ

(Home)
19 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Serrano FC
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
27 Jun
Audax RJ
2 : 0
Resende
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CEAC/Araruama

(Away)
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0
CEAC/Araruama
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1
Boavista
08 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
2 : 1
Sao Cristovao
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0
Olaria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)