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Audax RJ vs Perolas Negras

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Duarte A.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Audax RJ and Perolas Negras finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perolas Negras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Audax RJ
44%
Draws
20%
Perolas Negras
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Perolas Negras come out ahead of Audax RJ on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Audax RJ Clean Sheet 17%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audax RJ Perolas Negras
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs Perolas Negras
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs Perolas Negras
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Audax RJ Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Perolas Negras Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audax RJ 36 / 100
Perolas Negras 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audax RJ Perolas Negras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Audax RJ scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Perolas Negras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Audax RJ went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Audax RJ VS Perolas Negras
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Audax RJ

(Home)
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
27 Jun
Audax RJ
2 : 0
Resende
20 Jun
Marica
1 : 0
Audax RJ
14 Jun
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Perolas Negras
06 Jun
Americano
3 : 1
Audax RJ
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Perolas Negras

(Away)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Americano1181218:925
2Marica1173111:724
3Resende1154216:919
4America RJ1151518:1416
5Perolas Negras1151511:1516
6Sao Goncalo1142511:1014
7Bonsucesso1142510:1114
8Olaria1134411:1113
9Cabofriense1133512:1312
10CEAC/Araruama1132611:1511
11Serrano FC1125410:1811
12Audax RJ1130810:179
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)