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Audax RJ vs Perolas Negras

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Audax RJ Logo

Audax RJ

0 - 1
FT
Perolas Negras Logo

Perolas Negras

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Duarte A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Audax RJ and Perolas Negras finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perolas Negras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Audax RJ
15%
Draws
59%
Perolas Negras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perolas Negras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Perolas Negras come out ahead of Audax RJ on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Audax RJ Clean Sheet 10%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audax RJ Perolas Negras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs Perolas Negras
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs Perolas Negras
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Audax RJ Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Perolas Negras Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audax RJ 34 / 100
Perolas Negras 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audax RJ Perolas Negras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perolas Negras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perolas Negras let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Audax RJ scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Audax RJ went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Audax RJ VS Perolas Negras
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Audax RJ

(Home)
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
27 Jun
Audax RJ
2 : 0
Resende
20 Jun
Marica
1 : 0
Audax RJ
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Perolas Negras

(Away)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)