Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Audax RJ vs Perolas Negras

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025 Estádio de Los Larios, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Pepe
37' Event
Nathan
71' Event
Carlao

AI Match Summary

Perolas Negras in this Carioca 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perolas Negras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Audax RJ
15%
Draws
59%
Perolas Negras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perolas Negras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Perolas Negras lately — more wins on the board than Audax RJ.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Audax RJ Clean Sheet 17%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audax RJ Perolas Negras
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs Perolas Negras
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs Perolas Negras
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Audax RJ Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Perolas Negras Compare

Top Goalscorer Pepe
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nathan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audax RJ 36 / 100
Perolas Negras 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audax RJ Perolas Negras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perolas Negras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Audax RJ found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Perolas Negras conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Audax RJ went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Audax RJ VS Perolas Negras
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Audax RJ

(Home)
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
27 Jun
Audax RJ
2 : 0
Resende
20 Jun
Marica
1 : 0
Audax RJ
14 Jun
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Perolas Negras
06 Jun
Americano
3 : 1
Audax RJ
Page 1 of 7

Perolas Negras

(Away)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Goncalo 11 5 4 2 13:8 19
2 Bangu 11 4 4 3 11:8 16
3 CEAC/Araruama 11 4 4 3 8:9 16
4 Olaria 11 4 3 4 14:10 15
5 Resende 11 4 3 4 8:10 15
6 America RJ 11 3 5 3 7:7 14
7 Cabofriense 11 3 5 3 9:10 14
8 Perolas Negras 11 3 4 4 10:10 13
9 Americano 11 4 4 3 13:10 12
10 Audax RJ 11 3 3 5 11:15 12
11 Duque de Caxias 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
12 Goncalense 11 2 6 3 9:12 12
Promotion - Carioca 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 2025 (Main)