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Audax RJ vs Serrano FC

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Davi Santos
30'
Lima R.
30'
Lima R.

AI Match Summary

Serrano FC in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serrano FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Audax RJ
30%
Draws
62%
Serrano FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Serrano FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Audax RJ haven't matched Serrano FC's recent run of results.
  • Serrano FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Audax RJ Clean Sheet 24%
Serrano FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audax RJ Serrano FC
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 13
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Carioca B1
Audax RJ vs Serrano FC
0:1
May 23, 2026 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs Serrano FC
1:2
Jul 3, 2024 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs Serrano FC
2:1
Sep 23, 2020 Carioca 2
Serrano FC vs Audax RJ
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Audax RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Queiroz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Serrano FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Davi Santos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abner
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audax RJ 25 / 100
Serrano FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audax RJ Serrano FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serrano FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Audax RJ's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Audax RJ remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Audax RJ VS Serrano FC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Audax RJ

(Home)
03 Oct
Audax RJ
0 : 0
Nova Cidade
26 Sept
Goncalense
3 : 2
Audax RJ
19 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Serrano FC
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
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Serrano FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Artsul
3 : 4
Serrano FC
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Serrano FC
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)