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Audax-SP vs Guarulhos

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Fernandes R.
4' Event
Martins G.
57' Event
Fernandes R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Audax-SP
20%
Draws
51%
Guarulhos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarulhos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarulhos have won more games recently than Audax-SP.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Audax-SP Clean Sheet 20%
Guarulhos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audax-SP Guarulhos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Paulista B
Audax-SP vs Guarulhos
2:2
Apr 19, 2026 Paulista B
Guarulhos vs Audax-SP
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Audax-SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Guarulhos Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulo Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audax-SP 32 / 100
Guarulhos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audax-SP Guarulhos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarulhos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Audax-SP scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Guarulhos conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Audax-SP remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Audax-SP VS Guarulhos
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Audax-SP

(Home)
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
28 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 0
Flamengo SP
20 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
14 Jun
Paulinense
1 : 0
Audax-SP
07 Jun
Audax-SP
2 : 0
Votoraty SP
Page 1 of 6

Guarulhos

(Away)
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2
Paulinense
13 Jun
Votoraty SP
4 : 2
Guarulhos
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Paulinia FU
31 May
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Flamengo SP
24 May
Audax-SP
2 : 2
Guarulhos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)