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Audax-SP vs Rio Preto EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 2023 game between Audax-SP and Rio Preto EC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Audax-SP
30%
Draws
47%
Rio Preto EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Preto EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Preto EC come out ahead of Audax-SP on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rio Preto EC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Audax-SP have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Audax-SP Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Preto EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audax-SP Rio Preto EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.37 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2023 Paulista A3
Audax-SP vs Rio Preto EC
0:0
Feb 16, 2019 Paulista A3
Audax-SP vs Rio Preto EC
1:0
Feb 4, 2012 Paulista A2
Audax-SP vs Rio Preto EC
2:1
Jan 21, 2010 Paulista A2
Rio Preto EC vs Audax-SP
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audax-SP 24 / 100
Rio Preto EC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audax-SP Rio Preto EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Preto EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Audax-SP scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Rio Preto EC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Audax-SP has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Audax-SP VS Rio Preto EC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Audax-SP

(Home)
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
28 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 0
Flamengo SP
20 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
14 Jun
Paulinense
1 : 0
Audax-SP
07 Jun
Audax-SP
2 : 0
Votoraty SP
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Rio Preto EC

(Away)
18 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 1
Rio Preto EC
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3
Rio Preto EC
21 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 1
Rio Preto EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 15 9 2 4 25:15 29
2 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 13:12 27
3 Capivariano 15 7 6 2 28:11 27
4 Gremio Prudente 15 7 3 5 21:16 24
5 Desportivo 15 7 3 5 14:9 24
6 EC Sao Bernardo 15 7 1 7 17:16 22
7 Uniao Suzano 15 6 3 6 21:18 21
8 Matonense 15 6 2 7 21:18 20
9 Bandeirante 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Red Bull Brasil 15 5 4 6 24:23 19
11 Rio Preto EC 15 5 4 6 15:21 19
12 Itapirense 15 4 7 4 11:17 19
13 Votuporanguense 15 4 5 6 14:19 17
14 Sertaozinho 15 5 1 9 15:26 16
15 Barretos EC 15 4 4 7 18:29 16
16 Audax-SP 15 3 3 9 8:19 12
Promotion - Paulista A3 2023 (Second stage)