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Audaz vs Santa Tecla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Valladares F.
72' Event
Pena T.
74' Event
Ascencio D.

AI Match Summary

Audaz in this Primera Division 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Audaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Audaz
20%
Draws
16%
Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Audaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Santa Tecla haven't matched Audaz's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Audaz's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Audaz Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audaz Santa Tecla
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 0.93 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Audaz
2:1
Mar 3, 2019 Primera Division
Audaz vs Santa Tecla
3:0
Sep 30, 2018 Primera Division
Audaz vs Santa Tecla
1:0
Jul 28, 2018 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Audaz
3:0
May 13, 2018 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Audaz
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Audaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Valladares F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pena T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Santa Tecla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audaz 86 / 100
Santa Tecla 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audaz Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Tecla has conceded goals in 83% of their last 36 outings.

Audaz scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Santa Tecla registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santa Tecla
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Audaz

(Home)
05 May
Audaz
2 : 3
Pasaquina
27 Apr
Santa Tecla
2 : 1
Audaz
24 Apr
Audaz
1 : 4
CD Sonsonate
21 Apr
Audaz
2 : 0
Aguila
18 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Audaz
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Santa Tecla

(Away)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Santa Tecla
0 : 4
Metapan
28 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 1
Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Santa Tecla
2 : 4
Aguila
21 Apr
Santa Tecla
0 : 0
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 15 4 3 49:16 49
2 Aguila 22 11 8 3 27:14 41
3 Metapan 22 9 7 6 30:23 34
4 Municipal Limeno 22 10 8 4 23:17 32
5 Chalatenango 22 8 7 7 19:22 31
6 Santa Tecla 22 7 9 6 29:30 30
7 FAS 22 7 8 7 21:19 29
8 Pasaquina 22 6 8 8 23:31 20
9 Audaz 22 5 4 13 20:31 19
10 Luis Angel Firpo 22 4 7 11 16:31 19
11 CD Sonsonate 22 4 6 12 26:39 18
12 Jocoro 22 4 8 10 16:26 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)