Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aue vs Union Berlin

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kemlein A.
45' Event
Burke O.
90' Event
Schmid M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Aue and Union Berlin finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Berlin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aue
30%
Draws
19%
Union Berlin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Berlin haven't matched Aue's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aue a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Aue Clean Sheet 11%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aue Union Berlin
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.25 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Aue vs Union Berlin
1:2
Jan 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Aue
0:0
Jul 20, 2019 Club Friendly
Aue vs Union Berlin
1:1
Dec 23, 2018 2. Bundesliga
Aue vs Union Berlin
3:0
Aug 5, 2018 2. Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Aue
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aue Compare

Top Goalscorer Schmid M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Union Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Kemlein A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burke O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aue 83 / 100
Union Berlin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aue Union Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aue Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aue scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Union Berlin let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Aue remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aue VS Union Berlin
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Aue

(Home)
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2
Aue
16 Sept
Magdeburg II
1 : 2
Aue
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2
Aue
26 Aug
Aue
0 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
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Union Berlin

(Away)
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0
Union Berlin
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3
Schalke
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
29 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
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