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Auerbach vs FC Gera 03

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2011/2012
Sun, Mar 4, 2012
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auerbach host FC Gera 03 in the Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2011/2012. This has Auerbach written all over it on paper. Auerbach have averaged 1.9 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against FC Gera 03's 0.81 scored and 2.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Auerbach have won 3 to FC Gera 03's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2012, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.54 vs 0.81, favoring Auerbach. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Auerbach
30%
Draws
19%
FC Gera 03
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Auerbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Gera 03 haven't matched Auerbach's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Auerbach taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Auerbach Clean Sheet 20%
FC Gera 03 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auerbach FC Gera 03
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 16 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.9 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs FC Gera 03
0:0
Sep 10, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FC Gera 03 vs Auerbach
2:4
May 29, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs FC Gera 03
4:0
Dec 5, 2009 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FC Gera 03 vs Auerbach
1:1
May 24, 2009 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs FC Gera 03
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auerbach 58 / 100
FC Gera 03 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auerbach FC Gera 03

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auerbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auerbach scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

FC Gera 03 let in goals in 100% of their last 16 matches.

Auerbach has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Auerbach VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Auerbach

(Home)
25 Sept
Auerbach
3 : 2
Eilenburg
19 Sept
Freital
2 : 2
Auerbach
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Auerbach
1 : 0
Plauen
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FC Gera 03

(Away)
10 Dec
Dresden II
3 : 0
FC Gera 03
03 Dec
Piesteritz
1 : 2
FC Gera 03
27 Nov
FC Gera 03
2 : 2
Jena II
19 Nov
FC Gera 03
1 : 2
Erfurt II
04 Nov
Lokomotive Leipzig
6 : 0
FC Gera 03
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zwickau 26 18 6 2 71:20 60
2 Auerbach 26 15 7 4 47:30 52
3 Erfurt II 26 14 4 8 40:35 46
4 Dresden II 26 12 8 6 51:36 44
5 Jena II 26 12 8 6 39:32 44
6 Lokomotive Leipzig 26 13 3 10 40:27 42
7 Chemnitzer II 26 11 6 9 39:28 39
8 Fortuna Chemnitz 26 9 10 7 47:48 37
9 Bautzen 26 9 9 8 34:30 36
10 Aue II 26 9 4 13 43:42 31
11 Luckenwalde 26 7 3 16 38:55 24
12 Gotha 26 3 9 14 26:65 18
13 Piesteritz 26 4 4 18 27:63 16
14 Halle 26 4 3 19 22:53 15
15 FC Gera 03 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borea Dresden 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2012/2013 (Main)