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Auerbach vs Grimma

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Auerbach Logo

Auerbach

4 - 1
FT
Grimma Logo

Grimma

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 game between Auerbach and Grimma finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auerbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Auerbach
15%
Draws
51%
Grimma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grimma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auerbach come out ahead of Grimma on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Auerbach taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Auerbach Clean Sheet 14%
Grimma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auerbach Grimma
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 17 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.94 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Grimma
4:1
Sep 13, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs Auerbach
2:2
May 17, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs Auerbach
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Grimma
4:3
Mar 30, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs Auerbach
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auerbach 35 / 100
Grimma 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auerbach Grimma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auerbach's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Grimma let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Auerbach stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auerbach VS Grimma
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Auerbach

(Home)
16 Aug
Auerbach
1 : 0
Plauen
09 Aug
Halle
2 : 1
Auerbach
04 Jul
Auerbach
1 : 2
Bayreuth
30 May
Auerbach
4 : 2
Bautzen
17 May
Freital
2 : 0
Auerbach
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Grimma

(Away)
30 May
Grimma
3 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
17 May
Plauen
0 : 1
Grimma
09 May
Grimma
2 : 4
Krieschow
03 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 0
Grimma
26 Apr
Grimma
2 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
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