Sport Picks
Auerbach vs Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
Germany
Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2022/2023 
Match Events
3'
3'
Graf C.
6'
6'
Zimmermann M.
19'
19'
Kostal Z.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2022/2023 game between Auerbach and Oberlausitz Neugersdorf finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auerbach.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Auerbach
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Auerbach carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Auerbach taking it.
- Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Auerbach Clean Sheet 20%
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Auerbach | Oberlausitz Neugersdorf |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 2.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
5:2
Oct 22, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf vs Auerbach
0:0
Apr 14, 2019 Regionalliga Nordost
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf vs Auerbach
0:2
Oct 6, 2018 Regionalliga Nordost
Auerbach vs Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
0:2
Mar 28, 2018 Regionalliga Nordost
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf vs Auerbach
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Auerbach Compare
Top Goalscorer Graf C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Zimmermann M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf Compare
Top Goalscorer Orosz T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Herrmann N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Auerbach 85 / 100
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Auerbach Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Auerbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Auerbach scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Oberlausitz Neugersdorf conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Auerbach stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Auerbach VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Auerbach
(Home) 25 Sept
Auerbach
3 : 2 Eilenburg
19 Sept
Freital
2 : 2 Auerbach
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1 Dresden II
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3 Auerbach
16 Aug
Auerbach
1 : 0 Plauen
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25 Sept
Auerbach
3 : 2 Eilenburg
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1 Dresden II
16 Aug
Auerbach
1 : 0 Plauen
04 Jul
Auerbach
1 : 2 Bayreuth
30 May
Auerbach
4 : 2 Bautzen
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Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
(Away) 14 Feb
FK Ceska Lipa
8 : 0 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
30 Jul
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
1 : 1 FK Ceska Lipa
27 Jul
FK Ceska Lipa
3 : 1 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
24 Jul
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
0 : 3 Liberec B
27 Jan
Liberec B
0 : 1 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
Page 1 of 6
14 Feb
FK Ceska Lipa
8 : 0 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
27 Jul
FK Ceska Lipa
3 : 1 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
27 Jan
Liberec B
0 : 1 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
22 Jul
Bischofswerdaer
5 : 0 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
04 Jun
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eilenburg | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:33 | 71 |
| 2 | Krieschow | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 81:53 | 65 |
| 3 | Bischofswerdaer | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 59 |
| 4 | Plauen | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 82:47 | 57 |
| 5 | Bautzen | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 66:55 | 54 |
| 6 | Auerbach | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 55:42 | 50 |
| 7 | Freital | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 49:42 | 50 |
| 8 | Sandersdorf | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:43 | 49 |
| 9 | Einheit Wernigerode | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 66:66 | 48 |
| 10 | Einheit Rudolstadt | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:53 | 47 |
| 11 | Halle | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 45:49 | 44 |
| 12 | Ludwigsfelder | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:38 | 43 |
| 13 | Grimma | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 41:46 | 42 |
| 14 | An der Fahner Hohe | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 50:67 | 41 |
| 15 | Wacker Nordhausen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42:65 | 36 |
| 16 | Blau-Weiss Zorbau | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 58:77 | 31 |
| 17 | SV 1890 Westerhausen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 44:84 | 28 |
| 18 | Oberlausitz Neugersdorf | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 27:66 | 24 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2023/2024 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2022/2023 (Main)
