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Stadium Background

Augnablik vs Arborg

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Bergs H.
88' Event
Bergs H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Augnablik advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Augnablik
15%
Draws
28%
Arborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Augnablik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Arborg haven't matched Augnablik's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Augnablik's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Augnablik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Augnablik, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Augnablik have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Augnablik Clean Sheet 10%
Arborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augnablik Arborg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 0 1
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 3.63 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Arborg vs Augnablik
0:4
Jun 7, 2020 Icelandic Cup
Arborg vs Augnablik
1:0
Apr 13, 2019 Icelandic Cup
Augnablik vs Arborg
8:1
Apr 30, 2016 Icelandic Cup
Augnablik vs Arborg
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augnablik Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergs H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Arborg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augnablik 40 / 100
Arborg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augnablik Arborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augnablik scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Arborg conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Arborg lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Augnablik VS Arborg
3 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Augnablik

(Home)
27 Mar
Selfoss
7 : 1
Augnablik
22 Mar
Augnablik
12 : 1
IBU
11 Apr
Augnablik
0 : 5
IR Reykjavik
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4
Augnablik
06 Aug
Augnablik
1 : 3
KFA
Page 1 of 6

Arborg

(Away)
22 Mar
Olafsvik
3 : 2
Arborg
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4
Augnablik
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2
Arbaer
06 Apr
Arborg
12 : 0
Reynir Hellissandur
19 Jul
Arborg
0 : 1
IH Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Hviti 6
Gnupverjar 2
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Reynir 1
Alftanes 0
Vatnaliljur 1
Hamar 2
KH Hlidarendi 8
Snaefell 0
TBD -
Vestri -
Vidir 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Berserkir 15
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Sindri 3
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik 2
Kari 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Haukar -
TBD -
Kongarnir 0
KFR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Grindavik -
TBD -
Ymir 0
Orninn 4
Tindastoll 2
Dalvik/Reynir 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Stokkseyri 1
Skallagrimur 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 4
Isbjorninn 1
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Kria 2
KV Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Hottur 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Throttur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Nokkvi 0
Volsungur 1
Augnablik 2
Arborg 0
Midas 0
Vaengirs 1
Throttur Vogar 2
Stal-Ulfur 1
TBD -
Grotta -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Kjalnesinga 0
Lettir 3
KFS 2
GG Grindavik 1
Aegir 0
KFG Gardabaer 2
Fjallabyggd -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 0
Magni 15
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
Fram 1
Afturelding 0
Hviti 0
Kopavogur 1
Reynir 4
Hamar 1
KH Hlidarendi 0
Vestri 4
Vidir 4
Berserkir 1
Fjardabyggd 0
Sindri 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Njardvik 1
Selfoss 2
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Haukar 4
KFR 0
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Grindavik 1
Orninn 0
Tindastoll 1
KA Akureyri 2
Keflavik 2
Skallagrimur 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Breidablik -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 5
KV Reykjavik 1
IR Reykjavik 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
Huginn 1
Hottur 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Throttur -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri 1
Volsungur 2
Augnablik 3
Vaengirs 2
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 8
Lettir 0
KFS 1
KFG Gardabaer 9
Fjallabyggd 3
Magni 2
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
Fram 2
Kopavogur 0
Reynir 1
Vestri 2
Vidir 2
Sindri 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 2
Valur 1
Fjolnir 0
Haukar 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 1
KA Akureyri 0
Keflavik 1
Fylkir 2
Breidablik 3
Kria 0
KV Reykjavik 0
Akranes 1
Stjarnan 3
Olafsvik 2
Huginn 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Volsungur 1
Augnablik 1
Grotta 6
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
KFG Gardabaer 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Hafnarfjordur 9
1/8-finals
Fram 3
Vestri 2
Vidir 3
Selfoss 4
Valur 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 0
Fylkir 2
Breidablik 2
Akranes 1
Stjarnan 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 4
Grotta 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 4
Quarter-finals
Fram 0
Selfoss 2
Valur 5
Fylkir 0
Breidablik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Throttur 0
Hafnarfjordur 3
Semi-finals
Selfoss 1
Valur 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
Final
Valur 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0