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Augnablik vs Kormakur/Hvot

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Diounkou P.
13' Event
Arnarsson A.
31' Event
Robertsson G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-2, with Augnablik advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Augnablik
15%
Draws
28%
Kormakur/Hvot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Augnablik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Augnablik come out ahead of Kormakur/Hvot on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Augnablik taking it.
  • Augnablik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Augnablik, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Augnablik Clean Sheet 12%
Kormakur/Hvot Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augnablik Kormakur/Hvot
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 16 14
Draws 0 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 3.63 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Augnablik vs Kormakur/Hvot
5:2
Apr 12, 2018 Icelandic Cup
Augnablik vs Kormakur/Hvot
17:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augnablik Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnarsson A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Robertsson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Kormakur/Hvot Compare

Top Goalscorer Diounkou P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrason K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augnablik 83 / 100
Kormakur/Hvot 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augnablik Kormakur/Hvot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Augnablik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Augnablik scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Kormakur/Hvot has conceded goals in 86% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 12.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Kormakur/Hvot registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kormakur/Hvot
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Augnablik

(Home)
27 Mar
Selfoss
7 : 1
Augnablik
22 Mar
Augnablik
12 : 1
IBU
11 Apr
Augnablik
0 : 5
IR Reykjavik
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4
Augnablik
06 Aug
Augnablik
1 : 3
KFA
Page 1 of 6

Kormakur/Hvot

(Away)
15 Sept
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2
Haukar
12 Sept
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2
Fjolnir
05 Sept
Hviti
3 : 4
Kormakur/Hvot
29 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 3
KFA
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Alafoss 0
KFG Gardabaer 6
Hamar 2
Hviti 5
TBD -
Grindavik -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFR 4
KFK Kopavogur 8
Vidir 2
Sindri 1
Spyrnir 0
Hottur / Huginn 5
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Vaengirs 6
Hordur Isafjordur 2
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KH Hlidarendi 5
Reynir 1
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Selfoss -
Stokkseyri -
Kari 5
IBU 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
KFA -
Augnablik 7
Alftanes 1
SR Reykjavik 2
Kormakur/Hvot 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur Vogar 1
KA Asvellir 3
Midas 1
RB Keflavik 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 3
KFS 0
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
Skallagrimur 1
Aegir 3
Haukar 20
Afrika Reykjavik 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Arborg 12
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Smari 2
Arbaer 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fram -
Lettir 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 7
Ymir 11
Thorlakur 0
Hafnir 12
KM Reykjavik 0
Kria 1
Ulfarnir 2
Ellidi 0
Olafsvik 3
TBD -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tindastoll 7
Samherjar 0
TBD -
Magni -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
KFG Gardabaer 1
Hviti 0
Grindavik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
KFK Kopavogur 0
Vidir 3
Hottur / Huginn 2
Volsungur 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Vaengirs 1
Throttur 7
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KH Hlidarendi 2
Fjolnir 4
Selfoss 3
Kari 1
Grotta 3
Njardvik 2
Thor Akureyri 5
KFA 1
Augnablik 5
Kormakur/Hvot 2
TBD -
Stjarnan -
KA Asvellir 6
RB Keflavik 3
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 1
IR Reykjavik 7
Aegir 2
Haukar 3
TBD -
Vestri -
Arborg 1
Arbaer 2
TBD -
Fram -
IH Hafnarfjordur 5
Ymir 4
Hafnir 3
Ulfarnir 0
Olafsvik 2
Keflavik 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Tindastoll 2
Magni 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 4
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Grindavik 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Vidir 1
Hottur / Huginn 0
Fylkir 1
Throttur 1
Kopavogur 2
Fjolnir 4
Selfoss 2
Grotta 0
Thor Akureyri 3
Augnablik 1
Stjarnan 2
KA Asvellir 2
KR Reykjavik 9
KA Akureyri 2
IR Reykjavik 1
Haukar 2
Vestri 4
Arbaer 0
Fram 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 4
Hafnir 2
Keflavik 2
Breidablik 1
Akranes 3
Tindastoll 0
Afturelding 4
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Valur 3
Hafnarfjordur 0
1/8-finals
Grindavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 3
Kopavogur 1
Fjolnir 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Stjarnan 5
KR Reykjavik 3
KA Akureyri 3
Vestri 1
Fram 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Keflavik 3
Akranes 1
Afturelding 1
Valur 3
Quarter-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Fylkir 1
Thor Akureyri 0
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 3
Fram 0
Keflavik 3
Valur 4
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 2
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
KA Akureyri 2