Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Augsburg vs B. Monchengladbach

Germany Germany

Bundesliga 2025/2026 WWK Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Giannoulis D. In: Fellhauer R.
Out: Giannoulis D.
24' Event
Gregoritsch M.
28'
Gregoritsch M.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Augsburg and B. Monchengladbach finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Augsburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Augsburg
6%
Draws
90%
B. Monchengladbach
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: B. Monchengladbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • B. Monchengladbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans B. Monchengladbach's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Augsburg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 14%
B. Monchengladbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsburg B. Monchengladbach
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs B. Monchengladbach
3:1
Jan 11, 2026 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Augsburg
4:0
Feb 22, 2025 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Augsburg
0:3
Oct 4, 2024 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs B. Monchengladbach
2:1
Jan 21, 2024 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Augsburg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Gregoritsch M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fellhauer R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

B. Monchengladbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyna G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsburg 10 / 100
B. Monchengladbach 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsburg B. Monchengladbach

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Augsburg found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

B. Monchengladbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Augsburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Augsburg VS B. Monchengladbach
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich342851122:3689
2Dortmund34227570:3473
3RB Leipzig34205966:4765
4VfB Stuttgart34188871:4962
5Hoffenheim34187965:5261
6Bayer Leverkusen34178968:4759
7Freiburg341381351:5747
8Eintracht Frankfurt3411111261:6544
9Augsburg341271545:6143
10Mainz3410101444:5340
11Union Berlin341091544:5839
12B. Monchengladbach349111442:5338
13Hamburger349111440:5438
141. FC Koln347111649:6332
15Werder Bremen34881837:6032
16Wolfsburg34781945:6929
17Heidenheim34682041:7226
18St. Pauli34682029:6026