Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Augsburg vs B. Monchengladbach

Germany Germany

Bundesliga 2025/2026 WWK Arena, Augsburg
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Giannoulis D. In: Fellhauer R.
Out: Giannoulis D.
24' Event
Gregoritsch M.
28'
Gregoritsch M.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Augsburg and B. Monchengladbach finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Augsburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Augsburg
15%
Draws
20%
B. Monchengladbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Augsburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • B. Monchengladbach's 2.2 goals per match outpaces what Augsburg have produced (2.14).
  • Win probability leans Augsburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • Augsburg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 10%
B. Monchengladbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsburg B. Monchengladbach
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.14 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs B. Monchengladbach
3:1
Jan 11, 2026 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Augsburg
4:0
Feb 22, 2025 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Augsburg
0:3
Oct 4, 2024 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs B. Monchengladbach
2:1
Jan 21, 2024 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Augsburg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Gregoritsch M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fellhauer R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

B. Monchengladbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyna G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsburg 83 / 100
B. Monchengladbach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsburg B. Monchengladbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Augsburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augsburg's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

B. Monchengladbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Augsburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Augsburg VS B. Monchengladbach
3.88 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Augsburg

(Home)
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2
Augsburg
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
06 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 4
Augsburg
30 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 0
Schalke
22 Aug
Energie Cottbus
0 : 2
Augsburg
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B. Monchengladbach

(Away)
24 Sept
Siegen
0 : 3
B. Monchengladbach
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Mainz
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
29 Aug
RB Leipzig
3 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 34 28 5 1 122:36 89
2 Dortmund 34 22 7 5 70:34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 20 5 9 66:47 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 18 8 8 71:49 62
5 Hoffenheim 34 18 7 9 65:52 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen 34 17 8 9 68:47 59
7 Freiburg 34 13 8 13 51:57 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 11 11 12 61:65 44
9 Augsburg 34 12 7 15 45:61 43
10 Mainz 34 10 10 14 44:53 40
11 Union Berlin 34 10 9 15 44:58 39
12 B. Monchengladbach 34 9 11 14 42:53 38
13 Hamburger 34 9 11 14 40:54 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 7 11 16 49:63 32
15 Werder Bremen 34 8 8 18 37:60 32
16 Wolfsburg 34 7 8 19 45:69 29
17 Heidenheim 34 6 8 20 41:72 26
18 St. Pauli 34 6 8 20 29:60 26
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)