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Stadium Background

Augsburg vs Ulm

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Tietz P.
39' Event
Roser L.
46'
Sub
Reinheimer P. In: Selimovic A.
Out: Reinheimer P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Augsburg
30%
Draws
12%
Ulm
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Augsburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Augsburg lately — more wins on the board than Ulm.
  • Win probability leans Augsburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 18%
Ulm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsburg Ulm
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.14 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Augsburg vs Ulm
1:1
Sep 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Augsburg vs Ulm
4:1
Jul 22, 2017 Club Friendly
Ulm vs Augsburg
2:3
Jul 21, 2014 Club Friendly
Ulm vs Augsburg
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Tietz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Ulm Compare

Top Goalscorer Roser L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsburg 85 / 100
Ulm 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsburg Ulm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Augsburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augsburg's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ulm has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Augsburg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Augsburg VS Ulm
3.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Augsburg

(Home)
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2
Augsburg
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
06 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 4
Augsburg
30 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 0
Schalke
22 Aug
Energie Cottbus
0 : 2
Augsburg
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Ulm

(Away)
26 Sept
Ulm
0 : 1
Eintracht Trier
19 Sept
Sandhausen
2 : 2
Ulm
12 Sept
Ulm
1 : 2
FSV Frankfurt
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Ulm
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4
Freiberg
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