Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Augsburg vs Ulm

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Tietz P.
39' Event
Roser L.
46'
Sub
Reinheimer P. In: Selimovic A.
Out: Reinheimer P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Augsburg
15%
Draws
39%
Ulm
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Augsburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ulm lately — more wins on the board than Augsburg.
  • Win probability leans Augsburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 11%
Ulm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsburg Ulm
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 3 2
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Augsburg vs Ulm
1:1
Sep 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Augsburg vs Ulm
4:1
Jul 22, 2017 Club Friendly
Ulm vs Augsburg
2:3
Jul 21, 2014 Club Friendly
Ulm vs Augsburg
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Tietz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Ulm Compare

Top Goalscorer Roser L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsburg 83 / 100
Ulm 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsburg Ulm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Augsburg's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Augsburg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Augsburg VS Ulm
3 Goals Scored 2
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.5
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Augsburg

(Home)
05 Aug
Schwaz
0 : 15
Augsburg
30 Jul
Augsburg
2 : 5
Bournemouth
25 Jul
Augsburg
1 : 1
Saarbrucken
16 May
Union Berlin
4 : 0
Augsburg
09 May
Augsburg
3 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
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Ulm

(Away)
07 Aug
Stutt. Kickers
4 : 2
Ulm
01 Aug
Regensburg
1 : 0
Ulm
25 Jul
Ulm
0 : 4
VfB Stuttgart II
19 Jul
Ulm
3 : 1
Bayern II
14 Jul
Ulm
2 : 1
Augsburg II
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