Sport Picks
Augsdaugavas vs Marupe
Latvia
Nakotnes liga 2025 Ilūkstes pašvaldības stadions, Ilūkste 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between Augsdaugavas and Marupe finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marupe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Marupe carry the better recent record into this one.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on Marupe taking it.
- Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Augsdaugavas | Marupe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 21 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Augsdaugavas Compare
Marupe Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marupe has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Marupe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Augsdaugavas scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Augsdaugavas
(Home)Marupe
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ogre United | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 66:20 | 58 |
| 2 | Alberts JDFS | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 60:24 | 58 |
| 3 | Riga Mariners | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 74:34 | 58 |
| 4 | JFK Ventspils | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40:29 | 43 |
| 5 | RFS 2 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 46:31 | 41 |
| 6 | Skanste | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 36:39 | 40 |
| 7 | Leevon PPK | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40:40 | 36 |
| 8 | Marupe | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 30:33 | 32 |
| 9 | Rezekne | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 36:57 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Smiltene | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 46:48 | 28 |
| 11 | Riga FC 2 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 35:43 | 24 |
| 12 | Tukums 2000 2 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 37:60 | 23 |
| 13 | AFA Olaine | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 39:88 | 22 |
| 14 | Augsdaugavas | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:58 | 14 |
