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Aurillac vs Red Star

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CFA - Group C 2009/2010
Aurillac Logo

Aurillac

1 - 2
FT
Red Star Logo

Red Star

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Red Star in this CFA - Group C 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Red Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aurillac
20%
Draws
46%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Red Star lately — more wins on the board than Aurillac.
  • Red Star are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aurillac Clean Sheet 19%
Red Star Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurillac Red Star
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Aurillac vs Red Star
1:2
Sep 26, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Red Star vs Aurillac
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurillac 28 / 100
Red Star 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurillac Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurillac found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Red Star let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Aurillac has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Red Star
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurillac

(Home)
07 Feb
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 2
Aurillac
06 Jan
Saint-Pryve
3 : 1
Aurillac
09 Dec
La Chapelle
0 : 1
Aurillac
17 Nov
Biars-Bretenoux
2 : 3
Aurillac
06 Dec
Cholet
3 : 0
Aurillac
Page 1 of 6

Red Star

(Away)
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
14 Aug
Red Star
0 : 0
Sochaux
08 Aug
Nantes
0 : 1
Red Star
31 Jul
Amiens SC
3 : 1
Red Star
28 Jul
UNFP
1 : 4
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niort 34 18 11 5 53:23 99
2 Moulins-Yzeure 34 16 10 8 39:29 92
3 Lucon 34 15 11 8 45:39 90
4 PSG II 34 13 15 6 37:28 88
5 Albi 34 14 12 8 42:40 88
6 Montlucon 34 14 10 10 45:36 86
7 Colomiers 34 13 9 12 33:29 82
8 Les Herbiers 34 12 13 9 48:44 82
9 Libourne 34 10 14 10 35:31 78
10 Le Mans II 34 10 14 10 42:35 78
11 Red Star 34 11 9 14 38:44 76
12 Pau 34 9 12 13 30:35 73
13 Aurillac 34 8 14 12 26:40 72
14 Fontenay 34 6 18 10 31:41 70
15 Genets 34 9 9 16 29:42 70
16 Bordeaux II 34 9 11 14 23:32 69
17 Balma 34 6 12 16 28:42 64
18 Toulouse Fontaines Club 34 6 10 18 25:39 62
Promotion - National 2010/2011 (Main)