Sport Picks
Aurora F.C. vs Antigua
Guatemala
Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Amatitlan 
Match Events
19'
19'
Ardon J.
40'
40'
Camargo E.
46'
46'
Sub
Mingorance P. In: Morales Aguilar A.
Out: Mingorance P.
AI Match Summary
Antigua in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Antigua.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antigua
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Antigua lately — more wins on the board than Aurora F.C..
- 28% — that's where the model lands on Aurora F.C. taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Antigua here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 11%
Antigua Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aurora F.C. | Antigua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Aurora F.C.
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Antigua
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Aurora F.C.
2:0
Dec 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Aurora F.C.
4:2
Dec 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Antigua
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aurora F.C. Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Antigua Compare
Top Goalscorer Herrera A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Castaneda B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aurora F.C. 38 / 100
Antigua 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aurora F.C. Antigua
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aurora F.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aurora F.C. found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Antigua conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Antigua lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aurora F.C. VS Antigua
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Aurora F.C.
(Home) 27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2 Aurora F.C.
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0 Marquense
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2 Aurora F.C.
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2 Municipal
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1 Aurora F.C.
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0 Marquense
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2 Municipal
30 Aug
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0 Malacateco
22 Aug
Aurora F.C.
3 : 2 Suchitepequez
08 Aug
Aurora F.C.
3 : 1 Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 3
Antigua
(Away) 03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1 Antigua
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1 Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0 Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2 Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2 Antigua
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1 Antigua
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1 Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0 Antigua
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2 Antigua
30 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
4 : 3 Antigua
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelaju | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:19 | 39 |
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 32:21 | 38 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30:26 | 36 |
| 4 | Comunicaciones | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 28:26 | 35 |
| 5 | Antigua | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34:29 | 34 |
| 6 | Coban Imperial | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29:22 | 32 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25:29 | 30 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:36 | 27 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:25 | 22 |
| 11 | Aurora F.C. | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14:30 | 20 |
| 12 | Deportivo Achuapa | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:32 | 19 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
