Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aurora F.C. vs Coban Imperial

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Amatitlan
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Soriano B.
21'
Lemus J.
34'
Sub
Paredes S. In: Monges C.
Out: Paredes S.

AI Match Summary

Aurora F.C. in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurora F.C..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Aurora F.C.
30%
Draws
52%
Coban Imperial
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coban Imperial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coban Imperial lately — more wins on the board than Aurora F.C..
  • Model gives Coban Imperial a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 16%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora F.C. Coban Imperial
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Aurora F.C.
3:2
Apr 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Aurora F.C.
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Coban Imperial
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Aurora F.C.
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Coban Imperial
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Coban Imperial Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora F.C. 28 / 100
Coban Imperial 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora F.C. Coban Imperial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coban Imperial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora F.C.'s goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Coban Imperial conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Aurora F.C. has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aurora F.C. VS Coban Imperial
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora F.C.

(Home)
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
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Coban Imperial

(Away)
03 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Malacateco
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xelaju 22 11 6 5 34:19 39
2 Municipal 22 11 5 6 32:21 38
3 Deportivo Mixco 22 10 6 6 30:26 36
4 Comunicaciones 22 11 2 9 28:26 35
5 Antigua 22 9 7 6 34:29 34
6 Coban Imperial 22 8 8 6 29:22 32
7 Guastatoya 22 8 7 7 29:21 31
8 Marquense 22 9 3 10 25:29 30
9 Mictlan 22 7 6 9 25:36 27
10 Malacateco 22 6 4 12 19:25 22
11 Aurora F.C. 22 4 8 10 14:30 20
12 Deportivo Achuapa 22 5 4 13 17:32 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)