Sport Picks
Aurora F.C. vs Marquense
Guatemala
Liga Nacional Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Amatitlan 
Match Events
32'
32'
Flores C.
46'
46'
Sub
Ochaeta D. In: Garcia L.
Out: Ochaeta D.
46'
46'
Sub
Echeverria Perez A. J. In: Morales H.
Out: Echeverria Perez A. J.
AI Match Summary
Aurora F.C. in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurora F.C..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marquense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Marquense lately — more wins on the board than Aurora F.C..
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Marquense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aurora F.C. | Marquense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Marquense
1:0
Apr 15, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Marquense
0:1
Feb 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Aurora F.C.
0:0
Oct 13, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Aurora F.C.
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Marquense
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aurora F.C. Compare
Top Goalscorer Morales H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Marquense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aurora F.C. 41 / 100
Marquense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aurora F.C. Marquense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aurora F.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aurora F.C. scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Marquense conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Aurora F.C. went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aurora F.C. VS Marquense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Aurora F.C.
(Home) 19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0 Marquense
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2 Aurora F.C.
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2 Municipal
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1 Aurora F.C.
30 Aug
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0 Malacateco
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0 Marquense
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2 Municipal
30 Aug
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0 Malacateco
22 Aug
Aurora F.C.
3 : 2 Suchitepequez
08 Aug
Aurora F.C.
3 : 1 Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 4
Marquense
(Away) 19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0 Marquense
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0 Deportivo San Pedro
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2 Marquense
06 Sept
Marquense
0 : 4 Xelaju
29 Aug
Guastatoya
1 : 2 Marquense
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0 Marquense
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2 Marquense
29 Aug
Guastatoya
1 : 2 Marquense
16 Aug
Suchitepequez
1 : 2 Marquense
08 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
1 : 0 Marquense
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Municipal | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Guastatoya | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Antigua | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20:15 | 21 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Marquense | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Aurora F.C. | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16:19 | 12 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Comunicaciones | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11:23 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
