Sport Picks
Aurora Seriate vs MapelloBonate
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between Aurora Seriate and MapelloBonate finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurora Seriate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora Seriate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aurora Seriate carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Aurora Seriate taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aurora Seriate Clean Sheet 20%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aurora Seriate | MapelloBonate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs MapelloBonate
3:0
Sep 21, 2014 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Aurora Seriate
1:1
Mar 2, 2014 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Aurora Seriate
1:2
Oct 20, 2013 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs MapelloBonate
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aurora Seriate 40 / 100
MapelloBonate 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aurora Seriate MapelloBonate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aurora Seriate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
MapelloBonate let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.
Aurora Seriate's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Aurora Seriate remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS MapelloBonate
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Aurora Seriate
(Home) 10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Olginatese
03 May
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 3 Aurora Seriate
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0 Pro Sesto
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2 Aurora Seriate
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Seregno Calcio
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Olginatese
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0 Pro Sesto
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Seregno Calcio
25 Mar
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Castellana
15 Mar
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Lecco
Page 1 of 3
MapelloBonate
(Away) 08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0 Varesina
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 MapelloBonate
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2 Monza
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2 MapelloBonate
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 7
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 MapelloBonate
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2 MapelloBonate
03 Apr
Ciserano
1 : 1 MapelloBonate
06 Mar
Inveruno
4 : 0 MapelloBonate
27 Feb
Lecco
2 : 2 MapelloBonate
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Castiglione | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 74 |
| 2 | Lecco | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:42 | 66 |
| 3 | Seregno Calcio | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:37 | 65 |
| 4 | Ciserano | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 53:39 | 60 |
| 5 | Virtus Verona | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:34 | 59 |
| 6 | Pergolettese | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 46:44 | 55 |
| 7 | Olginatese | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 44:34 | 54 |
| 8 | Ponte San Pietro | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 50:42 | 52 |
| 9 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 37:40 | 51 |
| 10 | Sondrio | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | Aurora Seriate | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 12 | Inveruno | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 47:48 | 49 |
| 13 | Villafranca | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 44:49 | 47 |
| 14 | MapelloBonate | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 36:48 | 47 |
| 15 | Pro Sesto | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 38:41 | 47 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 37:42 | 41 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 36 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 34:40 | 37 |
| 18 | Castellana | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 36:61 | 30 |
| 19 | Montichiari | 36 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 26:97 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)
