Sport Picks
Aurora Seriate vs Ponte San Pietro
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between Aurora Seriate and Ponte San Pietro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurora Seriate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurora Seriate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Aurora Seriate come out ahead of Ponte San Pietro on wins alone.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Aurora Seriate taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ponte San Pietro here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Aurora Seriate Clean Sheet 20%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aurora Seriate | Ponte San Pietro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 41 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 0.95 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 2, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Aurora Seriate
3:2
Nov 23, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs Ponte San Pietro
2:0
May 4, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs Ponte San Pietro
0:3
Dec 22, 2013 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Aurora Seriate
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aurora Seriate 40 / 100
Ponte San Pietro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aurora Seriate Ponte San Pietro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aurora Seriate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aurora Seriate scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Ponte San Pietro conceded in 76% of 41 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Aurora Seriate remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Ponte San Pietro
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Aurora Seriate
(Home) 10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Olginatese
03 May
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 3 Aurora Seriate
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0 Pro Sesto
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2 Aurora Seriate
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Seregno Calcio
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Olginatese
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0 Pro Sesto
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Seregno Calcio
25 Mar
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Castellana
15 Mar
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Lecco
Page 1 of 3
Ponte San Pietro
(Away) 05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3 Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 9
05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5 Ponte San Pietro
24 Mar
Piacenza
4 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
17 Mar
Legnano
1 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Castiglione | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 74 |
| 2 | Lecco | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:42 | 66 |
| 3 | Seregno Calcio | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:37 | 65 |
| 4 | Ciserano | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 53:39 | 60 |
| 5 | Virtus Verona | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:34 | 59 |
| 6 | Pergolettese | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 46:44 | 55 |
| 7 | Olginatese | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 44:34 | 54 |
| 8 | Ponte San Pietro | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 50:42 | 52 |
| 9 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 37:40 | 51 |
| 10 | Sondrio | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | Aurora Seriate | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 12 | Inveruno | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 47:48 | 49 |
| 13 | Villafranca | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 44:49 | 47 |
| 14 | MapelloBonate | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 36:48 | 47 |
| 15 | Pro Sesto | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 38:41 | 47 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 37:42 | 41 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 36 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 34:40 | 37 |
| 18 | Castellana | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 36:61 | 30 |
| 19 | Montichiari | 36 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 26:97 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)
