Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Velasquez J.
Assist: Matheus R.
14'
14'
Velazquez J.
Assist: Torrico J.
24'
24'
Velasquez J.
AI Match Summary
The Division Profesional game between Aurora and Bolivar finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bolivar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
30%
38%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bolivar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Bolivar carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Bolivar here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Aurora Clean Sheet 11%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aurora | Bolivar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 2.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Bolivar
2:4
Nov 6, 2025 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Aurora
6:1
May 11, 2025 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Bolivar
0:2
Feb 28, 2025 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Bolivar vs Aurora
5:1
Feb 26, 2025 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Aurora vs Bolivar
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aurora Compare
Top Goalscorer Velazquez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Bolivar Compare
Top Goalscorer Velasquez J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Asprilla D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aurora 30 / 100
Bolivar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aurora Bolivar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Aurora scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Aurora remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Bolivar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Aurora VS Bolivar
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Aurora
(Home) 07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0 Academia del Balompie
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1 Aurora
30 Sept
Aurora
2 : 2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1 Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2 Club Universitario de Vinto
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0 Academia del Balompie
30 Sept
Aurora
2 : 2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2 Club Universitario de Vinto
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0 Real Potosi
05 Sept
Aurora
3 : 0 GV San Jose
Page 1 of 3
Bolivar
(Away) 04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3 Bolivar
01 Oct
Bolivar
3 : 2 GV San Jose
27 Sept
Bolivar
3 : 0 Blooming
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1 Bolivar
18 Sept
Bolivar
4 : 2 GV San Jose
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3 Bolivar
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1 Bolivar
14 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 2 Bolivar
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4 Bolivar
02 Sept
GV San Jose
0 : 1 Bolivar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 47:13 | 45 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 54:22 | 45 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39:22 | 42 |
| 4 | Real Potosi | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 27:14 | 32 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36:27 | 30 |
| 6 | Aurora | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 31:27 | 30 |
| 7 | Guabira | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32:39 | 29 |
| 8 | Blooming | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 30:22 | 27 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 30:28 | 27 |
| 10 | Independiente | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 32:50 | 21 |
| 12 | Academia del Balompie | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 31:45 | 20 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 21:40 | 20 |
| 14 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:39 | 18 |
| 15 | Tomayapo | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15:39 | 16 |
| 16 | GV San Jose | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21:37 | 14 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)
