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Aurora vs Garcia Agreda

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2015/2016 Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2015/2016 game between Aurora and Garcia Agreda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aurora
6%
Draws
4%
Garcia Agreda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aurora come out ahead of Garcia Agreda on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Aurora taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Aurora Clean Sheet 18%
Garcia Agreda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Garcia Agreda
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 7
Draws 10 15
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Garcia Agreda vs Aurora
0:0
Feb 14, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Aurora vs Garcia Agreda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 85 / 100
Garcia Agreda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Garcia Agreda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Garcia Agreda let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Aurora has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Garcia Agreda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
19 Jul
Aurora
2 : 2
Oriente Petrolero
10 Jul
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Aurora
02 Jun
Club Universitario de Vinto
1 : 2
Aurora
16 May
Tomayapo
0 : 2
Aurora
13 May
Aurora
1 : 1
Real Oruro
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Garcia Agreda

(Away)
15 Jul
Garcia Agreda
1 : 4
Municipal de Tarija
09 Jul
Atletico Bermejo
3 : 0
Garcia Agreda
25 Jun
Garcia Agreda
0 : 0
Ciclon
18 Jun
Municipalidad de Yacuiba
2 : 1
Garcia Agreda
11 Jun
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 1
Garcia Agreda
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Tarija632111:911
2Em Huanuni62227:68
3Royal Pari62224:38
4Quebracho Villa Montes62045:96
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guabira651015:216
2Universitario Beni62227:108
3Aurora61323:66
4Garcia Agreda60244:112
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Final Stage)