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Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena 2025 Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Pardo E.
36' Event
Ramallo R.
41' Event
Terrazas A.
Assist: Fernandez A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Aurora
15%
Draws
21%
Jorge Wilstermann
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aurora come out ahead of Jorge Wilstermann on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aurora's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Aurora have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aurora, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Aurora Clean Sheet 16%
Jorge Wilstermann Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Jorge Wilstermann
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.58 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Copa Pacena
Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Copa Pacena
Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
1:3
Jun 22, 2025 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramallo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Terrazas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Jorge Wilstermann Compare

Top Goalscorer Barron A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rocabado I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 84 / 100
Jorge Wilstermann 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Jorge Wilstermann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Jorge Wilstermann has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Aurora has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
11 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Aurora
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 7

Jorge Wilstermann

(Away)
14 Dec
The Strongest
6 : 0
Jorge Wilstermann
09 Dec
Jorge Wilstermann
2 : 2
GV San Jose
07 Dec
Guabira
6 : 3
Jorge Wilstermann
04 Dec
Jorge Wilstermann
3 : 1
Real Oruro
30 Nov
Aurora
1 : 0
Jorge Wilstermann
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 14 8 2 4 34:21 26
2 Blooming 14 7 3 4 28:20 24
3 Nacional Potosi 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
4 Jorge Wilstermann 14 4 3 7 18:28 15
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Oruro 14 7 7 0 22:10 28
2 Always Ready 14 8 2 4 36:19 26
3 The Strongest 14 4 4 6 27:24 16
4 Tomayapo 14 3 3 8 21:44 12
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GV San Jose 14 5 4 5 26:21 19
2 Aurora 14 5 3 6 24:29 18
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 14 5 2 7 23:24 17
4 Academia del Balompie 14 3 2 9 16:31 11
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guabira 14 7 4 3 25:25 25
2 Oriente Petrolero 14 6 4 4 24:24 22
3 Club Universitario de Vinto 14 5 4 5 22:20 19
4 Independiente 14 5 0 9 19:26 15
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)