Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional 2025 Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Castillo G.
45'
Caceres A.
55'
Sub
Barron A. In: Adrian J.
Out: Barron A.

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional 2025 game between Aurora and Jorge Wilstermann finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Aurora
15%
Draws
21%
Jorge Wilstermann
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aurora come out ahead of Jorge Wilstermann on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aurora a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division Profesional 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Aurora Clean Sheet 16%
Jorge Wilstermann Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Jorge Wilstermann
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.58 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Copa Pacena
Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Copa Pacena
Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
1:3
Jun 22, 2025 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora Compare

Top Goalscorer Sejas C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Jorge Wilstermann Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 84 / 100
Jorge Wilstermann 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Jorge Wilstermann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aurora scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Jorge Wilstermann let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Aurora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
11 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Aurora
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 7

Jorge Wilstermann

(Away)
14 Dec
The Strongest
6 : 0
Jorge Wilstermann
09 Dec
Jorge Wilstermann
2 : 2
GV San Jose
07 Dec
Guabira
6 : 3
Jorge Wilstermann
04 Dec
Jorge Wilstermann
3 : 1
Real Oruro
30 Nov
Aurora
1 : 0
Jorge Wilstermann
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 30 22 5 3 91:34 71
2 Bolivar 30 21 5 4 82:32 68
3 The Strongest 30 21 1 8 77:47 64
4 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 30 13 7 10 62:54 46
5 Blooming 30 14 4 12 53:56 46
6 Independiente 30 13 6 11 56:57 45
7 Nacional Potosi 30 12 7 11 51:41 43
8 Guabira 30 13 4 13 58:63 43
9 GV San Jose 30 12 5 13 46:50 41
10 Aurora 30 11 4 15 53:63 37
11 Tomayapo 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
12 Oriente Petrolero 30 9 6 15 45:58 33
13 Real Oruro 30 8 7 15 60:66 31
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 30 6 8 16 32:60 26
15 Academia del Balompie 30 6 8 16 33:64 26
16 Jorge Wilstermann 30 4 7 19 30:71 19
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2025 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional 2025 (Relegation)