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Aurora vs Real Potosi

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Amarilla A. In: Sanchez H.
Out: Amarilla A.
46'
Sub
Castellon V. In: Rojas J.
Out: Castellon V.
46'
Sub
Vargas J. In: Thomas J.
Out: Vargas J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Aurora
20%
Draws
32%
Real Potosi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Aurora have won more games recently than Real Potosi.
  • Win probability leans Aurora's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Aurora have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aurora, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aurora Clean Sheet 20%
Real Potosi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Real Potosi
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 12 10
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.55 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Copa Pacena
Aurora vs Real Potosi
1:0
Aug 22, 2026 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Real Potosi
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 Division Profesional
Real Potosi vs Aurora
0:0
Aug 23, 2021 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Real Potosi
5:0
Mar 16, 2021 Division Profesional
Real Potosi vs Aurora
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 85 / 100
Real Potosi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Real Potosi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Real Potosi let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Aurora has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS Real Potosi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
11 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Aurora
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0
Real Potosi
05 Sept
Aurora
3 : 0
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 7

Real Potosi

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 2
Nacional Potosi
15 Sept
Real Oruro
0 : 2
Real Potosi
12 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 1
Oriente Petrolero
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0
Real Potosi
05 Sept
Guabira
1 : 1
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 4 2 0 2 8:4 6
3 Real Potosi 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Academia del Balompie 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
2 Tomayapo 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Always Ready 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Real Oruro 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oriente Petrolero 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 The Strongest 4 2 1 1 7:7 7
3 Guabira 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
2 Independiente 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 GV San Jose 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
4 Blooming 4 1 0 3 8:12 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)