Sport Picks

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Aurora vs Royal Pari

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional 2024 Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Torrico J.
54'
Padilha Hallysson
64'
Sub
Moreno A. In: Zurita A.
Out: Moreno A.

AI Match Summary

Royal Pari in this Division Profesional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Royal Pari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Aurora
15%
Draws
31%
Royal Pari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurora lately — more wins on the board than Royal Pari.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division Profesional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Aurora Clean Sheet 68%
Royal Pari Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Royal Pari
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 15 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.68 1
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2024 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Royal Pari
0:3
Aug 18, 2024 Division Profesional
Royal Pari vs Aurora
1:1
Apr 6, 2024 Division Profesional
Royal Pari vs Aurora
0:0
Mar 20, 2024 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Royal Pari
4:1
Oct 19, 2023 Division Profesional
Royal Pari vs Aurora
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Royal Pari Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Alves
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 41 / 100
Royal Pari 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Royal Pari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (37 games).

Royal Pari let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Aurora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
11 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Aurora
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 8

Royal Pari

(Away)
23 Feb
Royal Pari
0 : 1
Blooming
19 Feb
Blooming
2 : 2
Royal Pari
23 Dec
Real Oruro
3 : 0
Royal Pari
21 Dec
Royal Pari
4 : 0
Real Oruro
19 Dec
Royal Pari
3 : 1
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 30 20 7 3 76:25 67
2 The Strongest 30 18 6 6 62:34 60
3 GV San Jose 30 14 6 10 62:40 48
4 Aurora 30 12 12 6 49:40 48
5 Always Ready 30 13 7 10 48:37 46
6 Nacional Potosi 30 13 7 10 52:47 46
7 Blooming 30 13 6 11 36:43 45
8 Jorge Wilstermann 30 11 11 8 35:30 44
9 Tomayapo 30 13 4 13 41:41 43
10 Independiente 30 9 9 12 48:58 36
11 Oriente Petrolero 30 10 5 15 44:58 35
12 Club Universitario de Vinto 30 9 7 14 36:47 34
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 30 8 7 15 40:58 31
14 Guabira 30 8 6 16 36:53 30
15 Royal Pari 30 7 8 15 30:46 29
16 Santa Cruz 30 6 4 20 30:68 22
Promotion - Division Profesional 2024 (Super final)