Sport Picks
Aurora vs Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bolivia
Division Profesional 2024 Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba 
Match Events
5'
5'
Montano G.
Assist: Serginho
11'
11'
Reinoso J.
Assist: Sejas C.
21'
21'
Caicedo J.
AI Match Summary
The Division Profesional 2024 game between Aurora and Santa Cruz finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurora.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
63%
20%
17%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Aurora come out ahead of Santa Cruz on wins alone.
- 63% — that's where the model lands on Aurora taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Aurora Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aurora | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 15 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 2.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 1, 2024 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Santa Cruz
7:1
Aug 5, 2024 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Aurora
2:2
Oct 24, 2023 Copa Pacena
Aurora vs Santa Cruz
2:1
Oct 4, 2023 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Aurora
1:1
Apr 26, 2023 Copa Pacena
Santa Cruz vs Aurora
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aurora Compare
Top Goalscorer Montano G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Reinoso J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Santa Cruz Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreno B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aurora 95 / 100
Santa Cruz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aurora Santa Cruz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aurora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aurora scored in 86% of their last 36 games.
Defensive concern: Santa Cruz conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Aurora has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aurora VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Aurora
(Home) 07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0 Academia del Balompie
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1 Aurora
30 Sept
Aurora
2 : 2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1 Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2 Club Universitario de Vinto
Page 1 of 8
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0 Academia del Balompie
30 Sept
Aurora
2 : 2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2 Club Universitario de Vinto
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0 Real Potosi
05 Sept
Aurora
3 : 0 GV San Jose
Page 1 of 4
Santa Cruz
(Away) 20 Dec
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2 : 3 Santa Cruz
18 Dec
Santa Cruz
1 : 5 Tomayapo
14 Dec
Always Ready
5 : 2 Santa Cruz
11 Dec
Santa Cruz
0 : 1 Blooming
07 Dec
Santa Cruz
0 : 1 Guabira
Page 1 of 6
20 Dec
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2 : 3 Santa Cruz
14 Dec
Always Ready
5 : 2 Santa Cruz
04 Dec
The Strongest
4 : 0 Santa Cruz
01 Dec
Aurora
7 : 1 Santa Cruz
26 Nov
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 3 Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 76:25 | 67 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 62:34 | 60 |
| 3 | GV San Jose | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 62:40 | 48 |
| 4 | Aurora | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 49:40 | 48 |
| 5 | Always Ready | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 48:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Nacional Potosi | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 52:47 | 46 |
| 7 | Blooming | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 36:43 | 45 |
| 8 | Jorge Wilstermann | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 35:30 | 44 |
| 9 | Tomayapo | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 10 | Independiente | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 48:58 | 36 |
| 11 | Oriente Petrolero | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:58 | 35 |
| 12 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 36:47 | 34 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 40:58 | 31 |
| 14 | Guabira | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36:53 | 30 |
| 15 | Royal Pari | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30:46 | 29 |
| 16 | Santa Cruz | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 30:68 | 22 |
Promotion - Division Profesional 2024 (Super final)
