Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aurora vs Vaca Diez

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional 2023 Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Huayhuata I.
12' Event
Reinoso J.
16'
Blanco O.

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional 2023 game between Aurora and Vaca Diez finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Aurora
15%
Draws
7%
Vaca Diez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Vaca Diez haven't matched Aurora's recent run of results.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Aurora taking it.
  • Regular Division Profesional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Aurora Clean Sheet 68%
Vaca Diez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Vaca Diez
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.59 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2023 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Vaca Diez
3:0
Jun 23, 2023 Division Profesional
Vaca Diez vs Aurora
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora Compare

Top Goalscorer Reinoso J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Vaca Diez Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 95 / 100
Vaca Diez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Vaca Diez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aurora scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Vaca Diez has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Aurora went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
11 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Aurora
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0
Real Potosi
05 Sept
Aurora
3 : 0
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 6

Vaca Diez

(Away)
21 Sept
Vaca Diez
0 : 0
Wilstermann Cooperativas
15 Sept
Vaca Diez
1 : 3
3 de Febrero
06 Sept
Academia del Balompie
5 : 0
Vaca Diez
31 Aug
3 de Febrero
3 : 0
Vaca Diez
25 Aug
Vaca Diez
1 : 4
Academia del Balompie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 32 19 8 5 65:34 65
2 Bolivar 32 17 6 9 84:42 57
3 Always Ready 32 16 9 7 54:36 57
4 Nacional Potosi 32 16 6 10 72:46 54
5 Aurora 32 14 9 9 45:31 51
6 Tomayapo 32 13 10 9 36:34 49
7 Santa Cruz 32 13 7 12 31:42 46
8 Jorge Wilstermann 32 12 13 7 39:27 43
9 Oriente Petrolero 32 11 10 11 44:42 43
10 Club Universitario de Vinto 32 9 14 9 30:28 41
11 Independiente 32 13 1 18 33:45 40
12 Royal Pari 32 8 11 13 40:53 35
13 Guabira 32 10 5 17 34:49 35
14 Blooming 32 9 6 17 37:56 33
15 Libertad Gran Mamore 32 9 6 17 32:65 33
16 Vaca Diez 32 8 8 16 42:61 32
17 Atletico Palmaflor 32 8 5 19 32:59 29
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2024 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional 2023 (Relegation)