Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Aurrera de Vitoria

3 - 0

Anorga

Our Tip

Match Events

54'

Gastaminza H.

80'

Yarza P.

Own Goal

86'

Hernandez I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 game between Aurrera de Vitoria and Anorga finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurrera de Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Aurrera de Vitoria

39%

Draws

31%

Anorga

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Aurrera de Vitoria come out ahead of Anorga on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%

Anorga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aurrera de Vitoria	Anorga
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	11
Draws	6	3
Losses	11	16
Goals Scored	0.88	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Aurrera de Vitoria vs Anorga

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Anorga vs Aurrera de Vitoria

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurrera de Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Gastaminza H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hernandez I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Anorga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurrera de Vitoria 41 / 100

Anorga 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aurrera de Vitoria Anorga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurrera de Vitoria scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Anorga let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Aurrera de Vitoria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurrera de Vitoria VS Anorga

0.88 Goals Scored 1.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugalete	34	24	6	4	70:29	78
2	Leioa	34	18	7	9	50:34	61
3	Derio	34	17	7	10	54:40	58
4	Lagun Onak	34	17	6	11	54:34	57
5	Touring KE	34	16	9	9	47:35	57
6	Real Sociedad C	34	17	4	13	48:39	55
7	San Ignacio	34	16	7	11	37:27	55
8	Aurrera de Vitoria	34	16	6	12	42:41	54
9	Alaves C	34	15	8	11	57:40	53
10	UD Aretxabaleta	34	13	6	15	56:61	45
11	SCD Durango	34	11	11	12	35:36	44
12	Santurtzi	34	9	12	13	32:45	39
13	Eibar C	34	9	9	16	44:53	36
14	Pasaia	34	9	9	16	26:46	36
15	Anorga	34	11	4	19	37:59	34
16	Zamudio	34	9	6	19	42:59	33
17	Zarautz KE	34	8	6	20	30:60	30
18	SD Deusto	34	6	7	21	26:49	25