Sport Picks
Aurrera de Vitoria vs San Ignacio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 
Match Events
73'
73'
Esteban M.
Own Goal
87'
87'
Gonzalez M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Aurrera de Vitoria and San Ignacio finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Ignacio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aurrera de Vitoria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aurrera de Vitoria carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Aurrera de Vitoria taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- San Ignacio have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aurrera de Vitoria | San Ignacio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs San Ignacio
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Aurrera de Vitoria
3:1
Jan 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs San Ignacio
0:1
Sep 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Aurrera de Vitoria
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aurrera de Vitoria 77 / 100
San Ignacio 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aurrera de Vitoria San Ignacio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aurrera de Vitoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aurrera de Vitoria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Aurrera de Vitoria's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
San Ignacio let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Aurrera de Vitoria VS San Ignacio
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Aurrera de Vitoria
(Home) 03 Oct
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1 SD Erandio
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3 Aurrera de Vitoria
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1 Alaves C
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1 Touring KE
05 Sept
Amurrio Club
1 : 2 Aurrera de Vitoria
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1 SD Erandio
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1 Alaves C
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1 Touring KE
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0 Amorebieta
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1 SD Deusto
Page 1 of 4
San Ignacio
(Away) 04 Oct
Real Union B
0 : 3 San Ignacio
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2 Pasaia
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 San Ignacio
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1 Derio
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3 San Ignacio
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Real Union B
0 : 3 San Ignacio
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 San Ignacio
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3 San Ignacio
26 Aug
Oyonesa
1 : 4 San Ignacio
20 Aug
Amurrio Club
0 : 3 San Ignacio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 70:29 | 78 |
| 2 | Leioa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 50:34 | 61 |
| 3 | Derio | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 54:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Touring KE | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad C | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37:27 | 55 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 54 |
| 9 | Alaves C | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:40 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:61 | 45 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 35:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32:45 | 39 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:53 | 36 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 26:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Anorga | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37:59 | 34 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:59 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:60 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26:49 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
